Thursday, 13 June 2019

Trade Wars, Gold And Billionaires: Gold Price Going To $1,700 Soon Says Billionaire Paul Tudor Jones - Bloomberg.



Gold is banging on the $1350 door and the breakout above this resistance area can bring the fireworks before 4th of July this year. With all market observations of the extreme valuations, it is important that people who can move the real money in order to address these dislocations of capital will join our happy early investors' crowd. We are in a very good company now with our observations about the all-time low valuation for gold adjusted for 1980 consumer purchasing inflation formula.




It is interesting to note that among gold bulls and other fellow billionaires Thomas Kaplan is sighted as well:

"Jones comments also follow recent bullish sentiment from other billionaires. Last month, Thomas Kaplan, chairman and chief investment officer of Electrum Group, said in an interview with David Rubenstein on Bloomberg Television that he could see gold prices rally as high as $3,000 to $5,000 within a decade."

Electrum Group is the major shareholder of Nova Gold which is developing the Donlin Gold project with Barrick Gold in the great state of Alaska.




"Since investing roughly US$70 million to acquire a 28 percent stake in Novagold Resources Inc. in 2009, American billionaire Thomas Kaplan and his Electrum Group of companies have taken a keen interest in some of the more intriguing mineral exploration companies and projects in Alaska and across Canada's North. 
Kaplan, an Oxford-educated historian that began investing in natural resources in the 1980s, knows that gold has served as a currency throughout mankind's written history and believes the precious metal continues this role in society today. 
"Gold is not a commodity, it is a currency with the longest known provenance we have – actually gold and silver," he asserted in 2011. "And, that is extremely important because when you start looking at something no longer as a commodity but as a currency, you have to really assess; what is that market, is it deep enough to give people the opportunity to play?" 
Kaplan believes the gold market is not deep enough, which is one of the reasons he invested in Novagold, a Vancouver, B. C.-based junior that owns 50 percent of the 39-million-ounce Donlin Gold project in Alaska. 
"To us, Novagold is the right story at the right time," Kaplan, Novagold's chairman, penned in the company's 2018 annual report. "It represents a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to make the very lowest risk/highest reward trade in gold." 
While Kaplan is an outspoken advocate for gold, investments made by private equity funds managed by Electrum go beyond the precious metal to include junior mining companies exploring for nickel and platinum group metals in the Yukon; zinc and copper in Alaska and diamonds in Nunavut. "Electrum Group funds strategic exploration." North of 60 Mining News"



We have discussed in depth the McKinsey's Gold Reserves crisis and you can find this analysis on my blog. According to McKinsey: "Reserves by major Gold companies have declined 26% from 2012 and now below 2007 levels." M&A will be only part of the solution for some companies as it only redistributes the same Gold reserves, we need new discoveries and new elephant projects coming online just to address the gap between growing demand and available supply.




Barrick Gold is developing together with NovaGold 40MOZ giant Donlin Gold in Alaska - "arguably the most important Gold project in the world." So where will you be looking for the new elephants? Maybe in the Alaskan Elephant Country. 




Barrick Gold received crucial permits to advance Donlin Gold now and this new developing mining district in the US can make the promise of "Gold In the USA" providing stable supply feasible again and it can become that solution to "The Gold Mining Reserve Crisis" McKinsey is talking about:
"The Company's strategy with the Shotgun Gold Project is to attract a partnership with one of the major gold mining companies. TNR Gold ("TNR") is actively introducing the project to interested parties," commented Kirill Klip, Executive Chairman of TNR. "We may be at the beginning of a great discovery. There is a clear path on how to move this project forward using the geological and geophysical research currently available to target drilling to expand the resource and form the basis of a preliminary economic analysis. The next step is to acquire a partner that shares our vision and recognizes the growth potential and value to be added to the Shotgun project over time."




Gold In The USA: Kirill Klip GEM Royalty TNR Gold Presentation May 2019 - Gold In The Alaskan Elephant Country.






LEGAL DISCLAIMER

Please read legal disclaimer. There is no investment advice on this blog. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before any investment decisions. DYOR.





Gold In The Alaskan Elephant Country: TNR Gold Shotgun Gold Presentation April 2019.






Kitco:

Gold Price Going To $1,700 Soon Says Billionaire Paul Tudor Jones - Bloomberg


"(Kitco News) - Another billionaire investor is sounding the alarm for the U.S. and global economies and is looking at gold as the safe-haven play.

In an interview with Bloomberg News, Paul Tudor Jones, fund manager and create of Tudor Investment Corp., said that his favorite trade in the next 12 to 24 months is gold. He added that if the price can break through $1,400 it will push to $1,700 an ounce "rather quickly."
“[Gold] has everything going for it,” he said.
During the interview Jones said that the global economy, which has been built on global trade, is on the verge of breaking down as global trade tensions continue to escalate. He said that President Donald Trump’s recent threat of further tariffs on $300 billion of imported Chinese goods could be the “material event,” that could push the U.S. economy into a recession.
“We’ve had 75 years of expanding globalization and trade… and now all of a sudden it’s stopped,” he said. “That would make one think that it’s possible we go into a recession; it would make one think that rates in the United States go back down to the zero bound level; gold in that situation is going to scream. [Gold] will be the antidote for people with equity portfolios.”
Jones’ comments come as gold prices hold on to recent gains and is seeing its best weekly performance in a year. August gold futures last traded at $1,337.30 an ounce, up 0.45% on the day. Gold prices have pushed higher as markets have aggressively priced in interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets see a more than 80% chance of a rate cut by July. Markets are pricing in at least three rate cuts by the end of the year.
Jones comments also follow recent bullish sentiment from other billionaires. Last month, Thomas Kaplan, chairman and chief investment officer of Electrum Group, said in an interview with David Rubenstein on Bloomberg Television that he could see gold prices rally as high as $3,000 to $5,000 within a decade.
“You could easily see gold prices $100 lower before it catches a wave and rallies a few thousand dollars,” he said.
Earlier in May David Einhorn, founder of Greenlight Capital, also reiterated his positive sentiment for gold in a conversation with Kitco News during the Sohn Investment Conference.
“I hold gold, and I am never going to get rid of it. I hope that I never have to use it,” he said.
Jeffrey Gundlach, founder of DoubleLine Capital, also expressed a long-term affinity for the yellow metal during the conference. “I love gold. I have owned gold since it was trading at $300,” he said.

Friday, 7 June 2019

Geopolitics Of Twitter Meltdowns And Trade Wars In The Nuclear Age: ZeroHedge - "In Gold We Trust": Waning Confidence In US Sends World's Central Banks On Buying Spree.




ZeroHedge is diving deep into the story about World's Central Banks gold buying spree in the last few years and provides a lot of data which is painting the picture of the growing distrust in the stability of US Dollar and of the financial institutions in the West. Serious people are buying gold. The most important for us at this particular juncture is that it is not conspiracy theories anymore and not only Gold Bugs are doing it. Demand for gold from Central Banks is the highest since Nixon closed the gold window. Actually, we can see the accelerating pace of gold accumulation starting right after the Great Recession in 2008.




Recent examples of the solid geopolitical policy conducted on Twitter sitting next to the Red Button have brought the new dimension to the very old question: can the wars be really contained even if "they are the only trade ones" during the nuclear age? 





We have already discussed that "Growth solves a lot of problems" - but what to do when it is not here anymore? The US Dollar will be the first victim of the brave scientific experiment with Trade Wars which are assaulting the common sense and perceived economic logic - we can finally see that the FED Summer Party is here.




The most important outcome so far is that Gold has reinstated its status of the solid value in the uncertain times. Black Holes of digitalised fraud are sucking all the positive energy from Crypto Universe and, finally, gold is behaving like it is supposed to do. Central Banks are frontrunning brave libertarians who are stuck on the blockchains and learning Austrian Economics on Twitter.




Now it will be important that the coming correction will be above the Golden Cross made in January 2019 and that the gold buying signal in December 2018 will be intact.




Next phase for all junior mining companies which are involved in the precious metals will be very interesting as they are coming out of the longest and deepest bear market on record. 




Coming hangover into the "smoking sector" will bring back on Earth what is left out of investors challenging the new dimensions and maybe we will have another catalyst for the gold sector. Now it is not only us buying gold, but Central Banks are leading the way.




We have discussed in depth the McKinsey's Gold Reserves crisis and you can find this analysis below. According to McKinsey: "Reserves by major Gold companies have declined 26% from 2012 and now below 2007 levels." M&A will be only part of the solution for some companies as it only redistributes the same Gold reserves, we need new discoveries and new elephant projects coming online just to address the gap between growing demand and available supply.




Barrick Gold is developing together with NovaGold 40MOZ giant Donlin Gold in Alaska - "arguably the most important Gold project in the world." So where will you be looking for the new elephants? Maybe in the Alaskan Elephant Country. 




Barrick Gold received crucial permits to advance Donlin Gold now and this new developing mining district in the US can make the promise of "Gold In the USA" providing stable supply feasible again and it can become that solution to "The Gold Mining Reserve Crisis" McKinsey is talking about:
"The Company's strategy with the Shotgun Gold Project is to attract a partnership with one of the major gold mining companies. TNR Gold ("TNR") is actively introducing the project to interested parties," commented Kirill Klip, Executive Chairman of TNR. "We may be at the beginning of a great discovery. There is a clear path on how to move this project forward using the geological and geophysical research currently available to target drilling to expand the resource and form the basis of a preliminary economic analysis. The next step is to acquire a partner that shares our vision and recognizes the growth potential and value to be added to the Shotgun project over time."




Gold In The USA: Kirill Klip GEM Royalty TNR Gold Presentation May 2019 - Gold In The Alaskan Elephant Country.





Barrick Gold is developing together with NovaGold 40MOZ giant Donlin Gold in Alaska - "arguably the most important Gold project in the world." So where will you be looking for the new elephants? Maybe in the Alaskan Elephant Country. Barrick Gold received crucial permits to advance Donlin Gold now and this new developing mining district in the US can make the promise of "Gold In the USA" providing stable supply feasible again and it can become that solution to "The Gold Mining Reserve Crisis" McKinsey is talking about:
"The Company's strategy with the Shotgun Gold Project is to attract a partnership with one of the major gold mining companies. TNR Gold ("TNR") is actively introducing the project to interested parties," commented Kirill Klip, Executive Chairman of TNR. "We may be at the beginning of a great discovery. There is a clear path on how to move this project forward using the geological and geophysical research currently available to target drilling to expand the resource and form the basis of a preliminary economic analysis. The next step is to acquire a partner that shares our vision and recognizes the growth potential and value to be added to the Shotgun project over time."





LEGAL DISCLAIMER

Please read legal disclaimer. There is no investment advice on this blog. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before any investment decisions. DYOR.





Gold In The Alaskan Elephant Country: TNR Gold Shotgun Gold Presentation April 2019.




"The Company's strategy with the Shotgun Gold Project is to attract a partnership with one of the major gold mining companies. TNR Gold ("TNR") is actively introducing the project to interested parties," commented Kirill Klip, Executive Chairman of TNR. "We may be at the beginning of a great discovery. There is a clear path on how to move this project forward using the geological and geophysical research currently available to target drilling to expand the resource and form the basis of a preliminary economic analysis. The next step is to acquire a partner that shares our vision and recognizes the growth potential and value to be added to the Shotgun project over time."






LEGAL DISCLAIMER

Please read legal disclaimer. There is no investment advice on this blog. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before any investment decisions. DYOR.





Gold In The Alaskan Elephant Country. McKinsey: Can The Gold Industry Return To The Golden Age? It’s Time To Dig For A Solution To The Gold Mining Reserve Crisis.



Gold loves FED in the election cycle. "Growth solves a lot of problems", according to Larry Kudlow, but what to do when there is no growth anymore? Statutory limitations are making the question to be or not to be elected rhetorical and the only unknown now is what will be the price for the world to pay for the privilege. Among not so many options, throwing US Dollar under the bus seems to be the least unpatriotic compared to many bad choices tried last time. At least it is not a new war.



The majority of voters are not flying to St. Barts for the weekend and they will hardly notice any changes in FED's "Strong Dollar Policy from 1913". They will not be hit with afterparty checks presented in euro. The young libertarians will continue to study Austrian economics on Twitter and play "revolution" with the myriad of sh$tcoins, so weaker dollar will not propel Gold to $10,000 any time soon, which can become uncomfortably disturbing for the lost MMT academics.



And, what is the most important, this is all not a theory anymore and the same Larry Kudlow is calling now for FED to cut 50 basis points. Nobody knows the future, but the weaker dollar and negative real rates, like they are already in Europe, will normally move Gold price higher. Central banks are buying Gold at the highest rate since Nixon closed the Gold window and frontrunning all brave libertarians who are still experimenting with their money being tortured by elliptic-curve cryptography, decentralised, distributed from them and centralised again by the super smart shadow characters on the WEB.



In this perfect picture for the next few years: when we will be promised to see the uninterrupted bull markets supported by the strongest economy, which will be pumped by the fearless FED - we have only one missing piece, according to naughty McKinsey. They have managed to find The Gold Mining Reserve Crisis.




Even sh$tcoins prophets know that supply and demand still matter and only happy hodlers can help them to distribute all hard earned founder coins to the freedom-hungry public who is still hiding on facebook from the Big Brother. Gold market manipulation will work only to a certain extent, rising demand for Gold will require more supply in order to make the increase in Gold price manageable for all organised interested parties involved.




And here we have a problem now, according to McKinsey: "Reserves by major Gold companies have declined 26% from 2012 and now below 2007 levels." M&A will be only part of the solution for some companies as it only redistributes the same Gold reserves, we need new discoveries and new elephant projects coming online just to address the gap between growing demand and available supply.




These two major trends are colliding and pushing the gold price to resume its bullish ascend: weaker dollar which is desired now in order to keep growth intact and keep debt crisis manageable; and available Gold reserves just to keep annual production enough for feeding the increased demand without Gold hitting the headlines every week.




Barrick Gold is developing together with NovaGold 40MOZ giant Donlin Gold in Alaska - "arguably the most important Gold project in the world." So where will you be looking for the new elephants? Maybe in the Alaskan Elephant Country. Barrick Gold received crucial permits to advance Donlin Gold now and this new developing mining district in the US can make the promise of "Gold In the USA" providing stable supply feasible again and it can become that solution to "The Gold Mining Reserve Crisis" McKinsey is talking about:
"The Company's strategy with the Shotgun Gold Project is to attract a partnership with one of the major gold mining companies. TNR Gold ("TNR") is actively introducing the project to interested parties," commented Kirill Klip, Executive Chairman of TNR. "We may be at the beginning of a great discovery. There is a clear path on how to move this project forward using the geological and geophysical research currently available to target drilling to expand the resource and form the basis of a preliminary economic analysis. The next step is to acquire a partner that shares our vision and recognizes the growth potential and value to be added to the Shotgun project over time."





ZeroHedge:

"In Gold We Trust": Waning Confidence In US Sends World's Central Banks On Buying Spree

"Governments around the world have recently been on a “gold-buying spree.” These countries have a tactful reason for doing so, and this reason is directly tied to the anticipation of the inevitable end of US hegemony. 

Central banks are among the largest purchasers of gold. So far in 2019, they have bought 145.5 tons of gold, which is more, in a quarter of a year, than central banks have purchased in the preceding six years. To put it bluntly, this figure represents a 68 percent increase from the year before. Last year, central banks increased their reserves by 651.5 tonnes compared to 375 tonnes in 2017. Reportedly, this is the largest net purchase of gold since 1967.


Most interesting, however, is the class of countries that we find are turning to hoarding more and more gold, many of which are deemed to be adversaries of Washington. 

As always, Russia is the largest buyer of gold. In 2018, Russia’s Central Bank purchased 274.3 tons of gold. It also dumped 84 percent of its US treasury debts (we will come back to why this is important later.) 
Turkey, another country which has signalled a shift away from the US-EU alliance and a greater willingness to cooperate with US economic and military rivals such as Russia, China, and even Iran, has sold off around 38 percent of its US debt and purchased more and more gold. 

Other notable nations increasing their gold supply include Kazakhstan, Ecuador, Qatar, Serbia and Colombia, according to recent statistics. Even the Philippines has joined the gold-bandwagon, increasing its gold holdings in foreign reserves, as well as passing gold-specific legislation to assist small-scale miners in the country."



Wednesday, 29 May 2019

The Red Metal Goes Green During Energy rEVolution: Let's Talk About The Big Picture Of Supply And Demand For Copper.



Visual Capitalist has created brilliant infographics for the Copper Development Association. Let's talk about the big picture of supply and demand for copper. Two major trends are colliding which will define the supply and demand for the Green Energy Metal. We have exponential growth of sales for electric cars, charging networks, solar and wind energy systems. And lack of new discoveries and head grade going down across all copper industry.




Red metal goes green in the Tesla Energy rEVolution. Goldman Sachs now estimates that copper will be in structural "severe deficits" starting from 2023. And it is happening even before The Switch - the real mass-scale transition to renewable energy generation and when electric cars will affect millions of households all over the world. Despite stormy markets, the smart money was buying all the best copper projects last year. Only new copper giants like Los Azules Copper project under operation by the legendary McEwen Mining can bridge the coming very soon huge supply gap. 




Visual Capitalist presents a brilliant illustration of copper place in the energy rEVolution and particularly in electric vehicles. Smart Grids connecting renewables like Solar and Wind with the grid and charging infrastructure for electric cars will bring another drive for copper demand for very many years to come. Green Energy Metals Royalty Company TNR Gold holds 0.36% NSR Royalty on the entire Los Azules Copper project in Argentina and you can find more information about it in our presentation below.





























Tesla Energy rEVolution And The Golden Age For Copper: Kirill Klip GEM Royalty TNR Gold Copper Presentation May 2019.




In a news release dated February 21, 2019, McEwen Mining Inc. ("McEwen Mining") stated: "Our focus is on delivering near-term production growth from our projects in the United States and Canada, and on advancing Los Azules." The statement gives TNR confidence that McEwen Mining is keen to move the Los Azules project forward. 
In addition, McEwen Mining stated the following on its 100% owned Los Azules project: "We spent $6 million at Los Azules during 2018. The activities performed were mainly technical site investigations and environmental baseline monitoring work, to advance permitting efforts. We are currently investigating a new access route to the project that, if developed into a road, could provide year-round access to Los Azules, greatly accelerating the potential development of the project and reducing operating costs. Our 2019 exploration budget for Los Azules is $3 million." 
McEwen Mining's press releases and website material appear to be prepared by "Qualified Persons" (as defined by National Instrument 43-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects ("NI 43-101")) and the procedures, methodology and key assumptions disclosed by McEwen Mining are those adopted and consistently applied in the mining industry, but no Qualified Person engaged by TNR has done sufficient work to analyze, interpret, classify or verify McEwen Mining's information, nor to determine the current mineral reserve or resource or any other information referred to in their press releases. Accordingly, the reader is cautioned in placing any reliance on these disclosures. 
The Company holds a 0.36% royalty on the net smelter return ("NSR") royalty of the entire Los Azules copper project in Argentina. TNR summarized the PEA results in a news release issued on October 10, 2017."




LEGAL DISCLAIMER

Please read legal disclaimer. There is no investment advice on this blog. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before any investment decisions. DYOR.