Showing posts with label Peak Gold. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Peak Gold. Show all posts

Saturday, 20 March 2021

Gold - The Catalyst: Bitcoin And Other Video Games Of The MMT Age.

 

Every bubble needs great people to make it great. Gold is the ultimate hedge and now confirms that it can provide a hedge not only for portfolios constructed with stocks and bonds but for all portfolios including cryptocurrencies as well.



Nobody knows the future, but for all brave hodlers, I can suggest that by allocating just 10% of your crypto portfolio into Gold you can get better sleep at night. If Crypto Whales who are pumping Bitcoin and selling it to you are right and its price will go to 1,000,000 - this investment in Gold will be a very small price to pay to be on your own yacht. You can have your own toilet made of that Gold in that case. 



If Crypto Whales are playing dirty with your desire for Freedom - you will be able to stay alive with your holding of Gold to enjoy your Freedom even after all your "Crypto Store of Value" will go down that proverbial toilet. Do your homework, make informed decisions and stay safe.



Jim Puplava and John Ing are translating today for us all things "crypto" in English and discussing "New Normal", old Inflation and Gold in the MMT Age. It is highly recommended for all to listen in order to realise that Bitcoin and other Video Games of the MMT Age are just that - Games. These games are played by Crypto Whales with Gamers and have nothing to do with the real values in the real world. You do not even have to go as far as EMP, just remember that all virtual games are virtual and some very ruthless and determined people are planning the real War Games. 



Bitcoin has become one of the main soft targets in the West and deserves national attention as a matter of state military risk management. Bitcoin's crash will not only bring a brutal awakening to "the brave fighters of the FED", but can bring very important companies like my beloved Tesla down spreading the shock waves across a very fragile overleveraged economy. The higher Bitcoin goes now, the more "great people" are getting sucked into and being sacrificed for this "Mother of All Bubbles" - the bigger shock will be for all parties involved after that lethal strike.   



The last Gold bugs left are jumping on the Bitcoin bandwagon and getting lost in the Dark Crypto Web with their money being Tethered. To be brutally honest, I am still puzzled how the same old as this world "investment thesis" can still fly even at this recent Bitcoin altitude. “Just imagine if every Chinese family will buy a mechanical clock”. I guess it’s all about things that hardly anybody can really understand, memes and laser eyes. 


The old beautiful law of leverage can produce miracles on the way up if it is applied properly. The same law has already crashed the whole civilisations. Not everybody is ready to dive really deep with me to learn about "Rehypothecation Silos in the UK" - MMT collateral pyramids on the grand scale - the driving engine of modern financial miracles. It can provide you with a better understanding of the real risks involved in the overleveraged financial system. In my very personal opinion, all these Dark Web Crypto scams are worse squared. 



"Welcome to Bitcoin "market" with a price discovery driven by Tether digital printing press instead of FED's FIAT "digital press" and Elon Musk Twitter feed. Do brave FED fighters on blockchain even realise that?"    


Who owns what in Bahamas and Bermuda? Who owes to whom? Will everybody get tasered after they have been happily Tethering their money with Bitcoin on its way up? We will see, but today a lot of people should pray that my beloved Elon Musk will not completely take his eyes off the ball fighting his demons after becoming "technoking".  


FOMO is the main driving force of this part of the very tired bull market in equities. Bitcoin with its cryptic prophets and the main appeal as a promise of a possible "Getting Rich Quick" Ponzi scheme is always wrapped up in goldish Gold 2.0 crypto foil. This is where we have the glimpse of things to come to the Gold market after Silver Squeeze. Everybody hates Gold now, will you love it as FOMO at $15,000?


Bitcoin used to be Gold 2.0 - the Real Money, but better. First, it lost its quality as a method of payment. If all pizzas bought with Bitcoin will fly to the moon, who is going to use it as intermedium to conduct commercial transactions? Now it is pumped by the whales to the herd as “the store of value”. This value depends on whether Apple will buy it tomorrow or one of the brave corporate balance sheet treasury investors in crypto will go bust. 


What will happen with this "store of value" if Elon Musk decides to sell all Bitcoin and put Tesla treasury funds in Dogecoin instead? What will be the next value proposition - NFTed memes and laser eyes? For your personal risk management, two very simple things are very important to understand. 

Holger Zschaepitz @Schuldensuehner

The first one, the Twitter Whales with laser eyes who are pumping up and selling Bitcoin to you today at $60,000 will be fine even if Bitcoin will crash tomorrow to $30,000 and will never come back. They will be more than fine if they really "bought it at $1." You will lose half of your capital. And second, Elon Musk can lose $40 Billion dollars after his bitcoin adventure with Tesla, he will be fine. Not a lot of young revolutionaries who are fighting FED on the dark web blockchains will ever recover after losing $40,000. Never forget it and trade accordingly, just do not call it an investment.



The potential realisation by the herd that if you do not know who is "the sucker" at the Bitcoin poker table - it is you, can bring the overnight Catalyst for the Gold market. 



And, please, never forget that Big Brothers and their FED hate competition and can let play you in revolutionaries for a while, but nobody is allowed to challenge "the right given by God" to "the right and chosen people" to mint the FIAT currency of any sorts. 


India and China may be ringing this bell for Bitcoin first for their own citizens now. After I have published this post yesterday, I came across two podcasts with Mike Green today. Invest two hours of your time and listen carefully before you get lost in the Dark Crypto Web. My analysis of Bitcoin as an example of the "Mother of All Bubbles" and National Security Risk was based on the big picture view and market observations. 



Mike Green provides us with the best and clear logic, which I found so far, translating all cryptic slogans and separating all woke flies from your hard-earned hamburgers. Needless to say and it is not very shocking for us here, Cryptic Prophets with laser eyes sound very plain after being translated into English and Twitter Whales can not address any major topics of concern in-depth after being taken out of the Twitter comfort zone with its 240 characters limit. 


But the most troubling for me personally is the realisation that "technological expert' cannot refute on the spot the technological possibility of attack by Non-Economic Actors on the Bitcoin network. The technical possibility of such an attack by any of the state-level players put all these Crypto Video Games of the MMT Age in a totally new military risk assessment perspective of the War Games in the 21st century. As Mike Green commented: "We are willingly participating in the system that is dominated by those who has explicitly stated bad intentions towards the United States." 


Who has invented this National Security Risk wrapped in a fake goldish foil which is growing exponentially and has been marketed as Gold 2.0 to the herd in the West? It remains to be answered in the future, but your money deserves your respect today. Understand first what kind of games you are playing and who is holding all the aces. The very old Game of Music Chairs will drive the very simple exit strategy for the Whales holding all the aces. Who will pull the plug first? You need to convert your paper gains into real capital gains before others will do it. Once the amount of money flowing in becomes smaller than the amount of money rushing out, this bubble will burst. The higher it goes now, the deeper will be the fall for those buying at the top of the bubble. But even without this dramatic and traumatic experience for so many good people, Gold has the major friend now and FED's driving force with unlimited money printing and Negative Real Rates.


Jim Puplava and John Ing are discussing today in depth all these factors, which will propel Gold on its next leg up in this young Bull market. The best Gold miners are literally printing money at these prices of Gold already. 



These seasoned market veterans are confirming my observations that M&A will be the main driving force for the junior mining space. Major Gold miners are facing Peak Gold Reserves and need new giant projects in the stable mining jurisdiction just to continue the same rate of production.



Below you can find more information for your own research on the TNR Gold relationship with developing Donlin Gold Mining Camp and my own personal vision of how the Donlin Gold project can potentially grow into a 50 million-plus oz Au resource project and become a major Gold Mining Camp in the world based on the U.S. soil. How is this relevant, what is the relationship between Donlin and Shotgun Gold? 


My belief is TNR's Shotgun Gold Project can potentially grow and become a foremost, immediate satellite site Gold deposit to Donlin Gold's Mining Camp infrastructure. This vision is based on our exploration work and academic studies like the ones from Dr Tim Baker in which Shotgun Gold Project is not only listed alongside Donlin Creek as one of the "Major Porphyry Gold Deposits" but is also projected to contain the similar porphyry intrusion-related type system as Donlin. 





Please read my legal disclaimer. There is NO investment advice on any Kirill Klip feeds and blog. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before any investment decisions. 
Do Your Own Research.




Thursday, 2 April 2015

Peter Schiff: Will April Showers Rain on Wall Street's Excuse Parade?


  Economy is slowing down, Peter Schiff is very good to summarise what is bad about the economy now. All the good news you can get on CNBC. Jim Puplava and James Rickards are talking as well about FED's inability to rase rates now. Nobody knows the future, but US Dollar rally is killing the recovery in corporate profits and market valuations are getting too extended now. Any further hesitation in parabolic move of the dollar will confirm Gold Double Bottom, next target is $1,300 when the real fun will start. 

Jim Rickards In Depth: What The FED Gets Wrong - No Interest Rates Increase 2015.


  This is one of the best interviews with Jim Rickards. The future will tell whether Jim Rickards is right on interest rates.  His Currency Wars have become the reality and Gold will finally reflect the fundamentals once US Dollar will finish its parabolic move. Realisation that FED cannot really raise interest rates in any meaningful way will be the catalyst for this move. China's dramatic appetite for Gold and decrease of gold output will drive the demand and supply constrains.


ZeroHedge: Peak Gold? Goldman Calculates There Is Only 20 Years Of Gold Supply Left.

 


 
  Finally the word is out and multiplied by ZeroHedge. Let's wait when the story will hit mass media now.

Peak Gold: 10 Remarkable Gold and Silver Trends Going Into 2015.


"Gold production is expected to peak in 2015. As the next chart suggests, the discovery cycle peaked some 20 years ago, and that will only reflect as of this year in the production volumes. Combine this with the falling gold prices (currently right below the average cost of production), and the result is a series of liquidations of miners and mining projects which would lead to an even more drastic short-term decrease of gold output. Read more."


TNR Gold: Shotgun Gold Project Development in Alaska.


 "Nova Gold has published its new presentation for PDAC 2015. Now you can find more information about Alaska as mining jurisdiction and Donlin Gold type of Gold deposit. TNR Gold owns 100% of Shotgun Gold project in Alaska, which has very similar geology to Donlin Gold, according to Greg Johnson - one of the founders of Nova Gold. Read more."


Tuesday, 31 March 2015

ZeroHedge: Specs Have Never Been More Short Gold Or The Euro.


  

  ZeroHedge reports about the record short position in Gold, which can become the catalyst for the move higher. This week sell off in gold is holding the lid on $1,200 level. All these games will end in tears one day.

ZeroHedge: Peak Gold? Goldman Calculates There Is Only 20 Years Of Gold Supply Left.

 


 
  Finally the word is out and multiplied by ZeroHedge. Let's wait when the story will hit mass media now.

Peak Gold: 10 Remarkable Gold and Silver Trends Going Into 2015.


"Gold production is expected to peak in 2015. As the next chart suggests, the discovery cycle peaked some 20 years ago, and that will only reflect as of this year in the production volumes. Combine this with the falling gold prices (currently right below the average cost of production), and the result is a series of liquidations of miners and mining projects which would lead to an even more drastic short-term decrease of gold output. Read more."


TNR Gold: Shotgun Gold Project Development in Alaska.


 "Nova Gold has published its new presentation for PDAC 2015. Now you can find more information about Alaska as mining jurisdiction and Donlin Gold type of Gold deposit. TNR Gold owns 100% of Shotgun Gold project in Alaska, which has very similar geology to Donlin Gold, according to Greg Johnson - one of the founders of Nova Gold. Read more."




ZeroHedge:

Crowded Trade 2.0: Specs Have Never Been More Short Gold Or The Euro


The Long US Dollar, Short US Treasuries trades were the 'most crowded' earlier this year and while both have derisked modestly from record highs, this week saw the net speculative position in EURUSD futures surge more negative and has never been shorter. Along similar 'strong dollar' lines, as Bloomberg reports, net long positions in Gold have dropped to their lowest since Dec 2013 and outright Gold short positions rose for the seventh week in a row to the highest since data began in 2006.

Specs have never been more short The Euro against the US Dollar...

And gold shorts have never been higher...

So everyone on one side of the Strong Dollar boat... apart from The Fed...

Charts: Bloomberg"


Monday, 30 March 2015

Frank Holmes: Is Yellen Or The USD Driving Gold Lower?



"Gold prices kicked off the week sharply lower as Frank Holmes is back from the Mines & Money conference in Hong Kong and discusses Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s hawkish comments Friday afternoon and the renewed strength of the U.S. dollar on this edition of Gold Game Film. Holmes notes that weakness in gold prices is a combination of Yellen’s comments spilling into this week and a stronger U.S. dollar – something he doesn’t see lasting. “The idea of rates rising in America, the dollar would just rip and the stock market would plunge,” he says. “It would plunge more in dollar value loss than one would imagine compared to gold falling to $1,000, or $900 an ounce. The wipeout in the stock market would be significantly greater.” Tune in now to see where Frank’s tossing his touchdown pass of the week. Kitco News, March 30, 2015."


ZeroHedge: Peak Gold? Goldman Calculates There Is Only 20 Years Of Gold Supply Left.

 


 
  Finally the word is out and multiplied by ZeroHedge. Let's wait when the story will hit mass media now.

Peak Gold: 10 Remarkable Gold and Silver Trends Going Into 2015.


"Gold production is expected to peak in 2015. As the next chart suggests, the discovery cycle peaked some 20 years ago, and that will only reflect as of this year in the production volumes. Combine this with the falling gold prices (currently right below the average cost of production), and the result is a series of liquidations of miners and mining projects which would lead to an even more drastic short-term decrease of gold output. Read more."


TNR Gold: Shotgun Gold Project Development in Alaska.


 "Nova Gold has published its new presentation for PDAC 2015. Now you can find more information about Alaska as mining jurisdiction and Donlin Gold type of Gold deposit. TNR Gold owns 100% of Shotgun Gold project in Alaska, which has very similar geology to Donlin Gold, according to Greg Johnson - one of the founders of Nova Gold. Read more."


Sunday, 29 March 2015

Jim Rickards In Depth: What The FED Gets Wrong - No Interest Rates Increase 2015.



  This is one of the best interviews with Jim Rickards. The future will tell whether Jim Rickards is right on interest rates.  His Currency Wars have become the reality and Gold will finally reflect the fundamentals once US Dollar will finish its parabolic move. Realisation that FED cannot really raise interest rates in any meaningful way will be the catalyst for this move. China's dramatic appetite for Gold and decrease of gold output will drive the demand and supply constrains.


ZeroHedge: Peak Gold? Goldman Calculates There Is Only 20 Years Of Gold Supply Left.

 


 
  Finally the word is out and multiplied by ZeroHedge. Let's wait when the story will hit mass media now.

Peak Gold: 10 Remarkable Gold and Silver Trends Going Into 2015.


"Gold production is expected to peak in 2015. As the next chart suggests, the discovery cycle peaked some 20 years ago, and that will only reflect as of this year in the production volumes. Combine this with the falling gold prices (currently right below the average cost of production), and the result is a series of liquidations of miners and mining projects which would lead to an even more drastic short-term decrease of gold output. Read more."


TNR Gold: Shotgun Gold Project Development in Alaska.


 "Nova Gold has published its new presentation for PDAC 2015. Now you can find more information about Alaska as mining jurisdiction and Donlin Gold type of Gold deposit. TNR Gold owns 100% of Shotgun Gold project in Alaska, which has very similar geology to Donlin Gold, according to Greg Johnson - one of the founders of Nova Gold. Read more."


Saturday, 28 March 2015

Koos Jansen: When Will China Disclose Its True Official Gold Reserves And How Much Is It?

  


   Koos Jansen has published another great investigative article on China's gold demand and reserves. It goes very well with the Peak Gold scenario. Apart from the news making it to the mass media it is very important that real money are buying into it already: China is on track for another record year in Gold demand. 


ZeroHedge: Peak Gold? Goldman Calculates There Is Only 20 Years Of Gold Supply Left.





  Finally the word is out and multiplied by ZeroHedge. Let's wait when the story will hit mass media now.

Peak Gold: 10 Remarkable Gold and Silver Trends Going Into 2015.


"Gold production is expected to peak in 2015. As the next chart suggests, the discovery cycle peaked some 20 years ago, and that will only reflect as of this year in the production volumes. Combine this with the falling gold prices (currently right below the average cost of production), and the result is a series of liquidations of miners and mining projects which would lead to an even more drastic short-term decrease of gold output. Read more."


TNR Gold: Shotgun Gold Project Development in Alaska.


 "Nova Gold has published its new presentation for PDAC 2015. Now you can find more information about Alaska as mining jurisdiction and Donlin Gold type of Gold deposit. TNR Gold owns 100% of Shotgun Gold project in Alaska, which has very similar geology to Donlin Gold, according to Greg Johnson - one of the founders of Nova Gold. Read more."



Koos Jansen:

BullionStar.

When Will China Disclose Its True Official Gold Reserves And How Much Is It?


Things are heating up in the Chinese gold market
First let’s go through the latest Shanghai Gold Exchange data and then we’ll continue to discuss the most recent developments regarding Chinese official gold reserves.
Friday the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) released its trade report of week 11, 2015 (March 16 – 20). Withdrawals from the vaults, which equal Chinese wholesale demand, accounted for 53 tonnes, up 3.91 % from the prior week.

Screen Shot 2015-03-27 at 10.33.53 AM
Blue (本周交割量) is weekly gold withdrawn from the vaults in Kg, green (累计交割量) is the total YTD.

Year to date total withdrawals have reached a staggering 561 tonnes, up 7.3 % from 2014, up 33 % from 2013.When using the basic equation for the Chinese gold market to estimate import, we learn that up until March 20 China has net imported 412 tonnes. Add to this India has net imported about 230 tonnes over the same period, that’s 642 tonnes combined. I wonder how long the Chinese can keep up this pace of importing before physical supply from Western vaults runs dry.
Shanghai Gold Exchange SGE withdrawals delivery 2015 week 11 dips
Trading volume on the Shanghai International Gold Exchange (SGEI) has been 32 tonnes in week 11, which could have distort SGE withdrawals by 0.8 tonnes. (Read SGE Withdrawals In Perspective for more information on the relation between SGEI trading volume and SGE withdrawals)

When Will China Disclose Its True Official Gold Reserves And How Much Is It?

Friday, 27 March 2015

ZeroHedge: Peak Gold? Goldman Calculates There Is Only 20 Years Of Gold Supply Left.

 


 
  Finally the word is out and multiplied by ZeroHedge. Let's wait when the story will hit mass media now.

Peak Gold: 10 Remarkable Gold and Silver Trends Going Into 2015.


"Gold production is expected to peak in 2015. As the next chart suggests, the discovery cycle peaked some 20 years ago, and that will only reflect as of this year in the production volumes. Combine this with the falling gold prices (currently right below the average cost of production), and the result is a series of liquidations of miners and mining projects which would lead to an even more drastic short-term decrease of gold output. Read more."


TNR Gold: Shotgun Gold Project Development in Alaska.


 "Nova Gold has published its new presentation for PDAC 2015. Now you can find more information about Alaska as mining jurisdiction and Donlin Gold type of Gold deposit. TNR Gold owns 100% of Shotgun Gold project in Alaska, which has very similar geology to Donlin Gold, according to Greg Johnson - one of the founders of Nova Gold. Read more."



ZeroHedge:

Peak Gold? Goldman Calculates There Is Only 20 Years Of Gold Supply Left


Late last year, when looking at a Goldcorp slideshow, we noticed something surprising: the gold miner had forecast that 2015 would be the year when gold production would peak among the mining industry.

To be sure Goldcorp was really just pitching its own balance sheet, and was more focused on its far more levered gold-mining competitors going out of business...
... and hence facilitating "peak production" this year as one after another producer is forced to file for bankruptcy, than actually making a statement on how much gold remains to be mined in the ground. Because the last thing even the most healthy gold miner, with the lowest production cost wants, is to face a world in which their primary commodity is running out.
Which may just be this world.
According to a report issued by Goldman's Eugene King looking at commodity scarcity, the chart below "shows that there are only 20 years of known mineable reserves of gold and diamonds."
Some futher observations on gold and scarcity in general from Goldman:
The combination of very low concentrations of metals in the Earth’s curst, and very few high-quality deposits, means some things are truly scarce. Perhaps unsurprisingly, these are the so-called precious metals (and diamonds), and that their value is derived from the fact they are rare. 

Their relatively scarcity, and the market’s belief that new discoveries will be limited, is what drives the price of these super rare commodities. Take diamonds as perhaps the most extreme example. A diamond has very little intrinsic value. Its value is determined by a belief that it is rare and, for a natural diamond, unique. 

Gold has been used as a measure of wealth for more than 4,000 years, as the ancient Egyptians soon worked out that gold was not only shiny and heavy, but rare.
Of course, this analysis is meaningless in a vacuum: if the "known reserves" of gold plunge in the coming decade, no matter how many gold futures and GLD short sales are conducted by the BIS, the price will have to go up, and it will go up high enough to where a new surge of gold miners will come online and find thousands of new tons of gold reserves around the globe. 
Unless they don't, and Goldman is correct that "peak gold" may have arrived. This will be even more true if over the coming years the long overdue fiat economic panic finally washes over the globe, and a revulsion toward central bank policies forces a scramble into gold whose value (if not price since fiat currencies will be redundant) soars. 
The answer is unclear, but what is certain is that like the price of oil over the past decade and until last fall when price discovery finally became somwhat credible, what happens in the physical realm has absolutely zero marginal impact on the price of commodity which has about 100 ounces in deliverable paper contracts for every ounce in underlying. It will be only after the gold price distortions via the derivative market are eliminated that such trivial price-formation forces as supply and demand are once again relevant. ZeroHedge."